Opinio Juris

A weblog dedicated to reports, commentary, and debate on current developments and scholarship
in the fields of international law and politics

Thursday, May 15, 2008

John Boonstra on R2P and Burma
I had contemplated weighing in on commentators' unfortunate tendency to equate the Responsibility to Protect doctrine with humanitarian invasion, but John Boonstra at UN Dispatch beat me to it. Here's a snippet:
First, by and large, the R2P doctrine has been misunderstood or misrepresented in calls to "invade" Burma. R2P is often implied to boil down to a simple equation: if a government is unable or unwilling to adequately protect its citizens, then the international community has a right to forcibly intervene to protect these people. The first part of this conditional is accurate, but the second is a gross oversimplification. R2P does not prescribe invasion any more than the Constitution of the United States mandates impeachment. Military intervention is only one component of the R2P framework, and one of last resort, at that; it is only to be undertaken when a series of specific conditions are met, ensuring that intervention is justified, well-intentioned, practical, authorized by the proper authority (i.e., the UN Security Council), and will not cause more harm than good.

Wielding R2P as a Trojan horse for invasion and regime change, as Robert Kaplan seems to desire, is harmful to the integrity and future viability of the concept, as well as to the more pressing concern of alleviating the Burmese people's suffering.
The whole post is well worth a read. It's here.

Saturday, May 10, 2008

Is It Time to Invade Burma? (Is It Time to Invade Georgia?)
The first part of this post's title is also the title of a new article at Time.com. (Note: on CNN.com, they title the article "Time to Invade Myanmar?")

And so begins the latest iteration of the humanitarian intervention debate. After a recap of the situation in Myanmar, the article notes:
...it's hard to imagine a regime this insular and paranoid accepting robust aid from the US military, let alone agreeing to the presence of US Marines on Burmese soil — as Thailand and Indonesia did after the tsunami. The trouble is that the Burmese haven't shown the ability or willingness to deploy the kind of assets needed to deal with a calamity of this scale — and the longer Burma resists offers of help, the more likely it is that the disaster will devolve beyond anyone's control. "We're in 2008, not 1908," says Jan Egeland, the former U.N. emergency relief coordinator. "A lot is at stake here. If we let them get away with murder we may set a very dangerous precedent."

That's why it's time to consider a more serious option: invading Burma. Some observers, including former USAID director Andrew Natsios, have called on the US to unilaterally begin air drops to the Burmese people regardless of what the junta says. The Bush Administration has so far rejected the idea — "I can't imagine us going in without the permission of the Myanmar government," Defense Secretary Robert Gates said Thursday — but it's not without precedent: as Natsios pointed out to the Wall Street Journal, the US has facilitated the delivery of humanitarian aid without the host government's consent in places like Bosnia and Sudan.
The article concludes that, if current attempts at assistance fail,
"It's important for the rulers to know the world has other options," [Jan Egeland, a former UN emergency reloief coordinator] says. "If there were, say, the threat of a cholera epidemic that could claim hundreds of thousands of lives and the government was incapable of preventing it, then maybe yes — you would intervene unilaterally." But by then, it could be too late. The cold truth is that states rarely undertake military action unless their national interests are at stake; and the world has yet to reach a consensus about when, and under what circumstances, coercive interventions in the name of averting humanitarian disasters are permissible. As the response to the 2004 tsunami proved, the world's capacity for mercy is limitless. But we still haven't figured out when to give war a chance.
I am of two minds when it comes to humanitarian intervention. Cases such as Myanmar may be the less difficult cases--situations where there is a threat of widepread disease or famine (let alone the physical injuries and other forms of suffering caused by the storm) and a government is either incapable or uninterested in actually doing what needs to happen to save its own citizens. I'm not saying that that is an easy case for humanitarian intervention, just that it is not as hard as other examples that are more politically ambiguous, such as intervening because of civil strife or sectarian violence.

Turning such a political decision into a legal rule is fraught with dangers. What do we do if the Russian intervene militarily in Georgia, on the pretext that they are protecting Russian passport holders? What of Turkey's intervention in Northern Cyprus in the 1970's on the argument that it was protecting Turkish Cypriots from violence? As I've written regarding Kosovo, the law of unintended consequences is a mighty force to reckon with.

The people of Myanmar desperately need help and they need it now. Perhaps intervening without the consent of their government will be the necessary and moral thing to do. I don't know enough about the facts on the ground to judge that. But, even if various states do undertake such an action, they should think very carefully about proclaiming the existence of a legal principle favoring humanitarian intervention.




Friday, April 25, 2008

Map Art
Here is a sample of some of the wonderful map art of Susan Stockwell:

Fleece England...



Rubber Africa...



Coffee Filter South America...



Tea bag China...


Monday, April 14, 2008

Free Speech at the Olympics
Free speech at the Beijing Olympics is becoming a hot topic. IOC President Jacques Rogge held a press conference last week taking a firm line restricting all political speech anywhere at an Olympic site.


Rule 51.3 of the Olympic Charter provides that “no kind of demonstration or political, religious or racial propaganda is permitted in any Olympic sites, venues or areas," a principle that has been in the Olympic Charter for more than 50 years in order to preserve the universality of the Games. "The application of this regulation is common sense," explained Rogge, adding that without this rule, Olympic competitions and ceremonies could be used as a stage for all different kinds of political statements about armed conflicts, regional differences of all kind, religious disputes and many others.

"If athletes genuinely want to express their opinion, that's fine," Rogge continued. "But let's not forget, there is also the right not to express an opinion. Athletes should feel no moral obligation to speak out. They deserve the right to focus on their preparations and should not be made to feel obliged to express themselves if they do not wish to. The IOC and the National Olympic Committees have the duty to protect them from any kind of pressure. In any case, I do not expect there will be many incidents (of breach of rule 51). Athletes are mature and intelligent people. They will know what they can say or not say. If they have doubts, the IOC and the NOCs are here to guide them."

I have mixed feelings about this issue. I would strongly oppose any boycott of the Olympic games, but I am troubled by the prospect of a prior restraint on political speech at any Olympic venue or site. What qualifies as a “demonstration” or “political propaganda”? Can an athlete walk around the Olympic village with a yellow ribbon attached to his shirt to symbolize his support for a Free Tibet? Can athletes discuss with reporters (or publish blog posts from their Olympic village apartments) about anything political, such as China’s human rights record, the great firewall of China, Darfur, or its lax intellectual property record? And if free speech is restricted in the Olympic areas, will there be free speech zones somewhere at or near the Olympics, as was the case at the 2002 Olympics in Utah?

Thursday, March 13, 2008

O What a Rogue and Peasant State Am I!
[This was cross-posted over at Huffington Post]

Now I am alone. O what a rogue and peasant slave am I! Is it not monstrous that this player here, But in a fiction, in a dream of passion, Could force his soul so to his own conceit, That from her working all his visage wann'd, Tears in his eyes, distraction in's aspect, A broken voice, and his whole function suiting, With forms to his conceit? And all for nothing!... Yet I, a dull and mudd-mettled rascal, peak... Am I a coward? Who calls me villain?... Remorseless, treacherous, lecherous, kindless villain! O, vengenance! Why, what an ass am I!

Hamlet, Act 2, Scene 2


In the famous second soliloquy of Hamlet, Hamlet is overwhelmed by a feeling of worthlessness and self-pity. He stands alone, grieving his inaction. He wallows and rambles in mindless self-doubt, remonstrating against his own failure. In his mind, he is a pitiful and weak rogue, lacking the gall to live up to his commitment to avenge his father's murder. He makes plans to test whether his revenge is justified, but his actions do not help him achieve his desired end. He finds himself a miserable, melancholy knave.

This scene from Hamlet came to mind yesterday when I attended a fascinating conference at UCLA on the topic of "rogue states." After listening to the discussion, I could not help but pity (and fear) the poor rogue state. They are full to the brim with self-pity, and self-doubt, utterly consumed by their weakness.

Exhibit One was North Korea. The former Thai Foreign Minister, Kantathi Suphamongkhon, presented a wonderful series of vignettes of his visits to North Korea that underscore the pitiful position of poor Pyongyang. The North Koreans display a room full of gifts to the deceased Kim Il-sung to show foreign dignitaries that a nation without friends has so many friends. It is poor and desperately isolated. It treats every issue as an insult, and every diplomatic overture is a potential provocation. If one focused on this abiding sense of insecurity, it is clear that labeling it a member of the "axis of evil" was a profound mistake. It only fortified their sense of weakness and vulnerability. For North Korea, the lesson of Iraq is "We are next, unless we appear strong." Nuclear weapons mollified their insecurities.

Exhibit Two was Iran. Dalia Kaye of RAND emphasized that Iran does not pose a significant conventional military threat to its neighbors, although its assymetric capabilities (such as ballistic missile development) are a concern. Iran is not the former Soviet Union. It is a weak nation attempting to exert political and ideological influence in the region. Unfortunately, the Bush Administration eliminated two of Iran's greatest enemies with its wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. And yet Iran still has precious few allies abroad and remains hugely unpopular at home. Therefore, we should move away from the rhetoric of regime change and unilaterally tone down our rhetoric on Iran. After all, democracy promotion is not the same thing as regime change. Our goals should be to promote democratic ideals and the rule of law from within.

Pakistan, by all accounts, is a special case. Former Pakistan Brigadier General Feroz Hassan Khan described his country as a deeply troubled one. National survival has been at the core of its mission for its entire existence. It may not be a rogue state, but it is a distrusted and sanctioned ally. It is not an enemy, but an enigmatic and disenchanted ally. When Pakistan cracks down on democracy and liberalism, it feels it must do so because it thinks the very survival of the state is at issue. It generally acts out of weakness and fear. It cannot be both popular and tough, so it opts for the latter when expediency so requires, and garners worldwide condemnation. Frequent terrorist attacks and disputed borders only add to its sense of insecurity.

What was the take-away message for the next administration? Don't feed the insecurities of rogue states. Stop calling them names. The label "rogue state" mistakes the essence of the state for its actions. These nations are in a troubled and precarious state of mind. They are full of self-doubt, prone to rash action, and easily insulted.

If there is one thing worse than a rogue state, it is a failed state. We know how the tragedy of Hamlet ended. When the mad Hamlet's doubts were eventually confirmed, he achieved his revenge and died in the process. Our goal should be to change the ending.

Wednesday, February 20, 2008

Consular Relations With Filipino Dancers
Who could have thought a tax case could be so ... exotic? On remand from the Supreme Court in the case of New York City v. Permanent Mission of India, Judge Rakoff was required to rule on whether New York City could recover property taxes from the Philippines, India, and Mongolia on portions of buildings used for non-consular purposes. But in order to do so the court had to distinguish between consular and non-consular purposes.

In the case of the Philippines, some of the property was leased by the Philippines government to a Philippine restaurant, Philippine bank (PNB), and Philippine airline (PAL). The question was whether any of those entities were performing consular functions within the meaning of the VCCR. The court ruled that the restaurant, but not the bank, was performing consular functions. The court was also quite emphatic that they did not have consular relations with that airline, PAL.

As the court noted, Article 5 of the VCCR "defines the purposes of a consular post broadly, by reference to its functions, i.e., 'furthering the development of commercial, economic, cultural and scientific relations between the sending State and the receiving State', 'protecting in the receiving State the interests of the sending State and of its nationals', 'ascertaining ... conditions and developments in the commercial, economic, cultural and scientific life of the receiving state, reporting thereon to the Government of the sending state', and 'helping and assisting nationals, both individuals and bodies corporate, of the sending State.'"

In assessing whether the restaurant performed such functions, the Court noted that from 1974 to 1982 the Philippine Center leased property to the Maharlika Restaurant, which "served authentic Filipino cuisine, employed Filipinos only, and was staffed with a Filipino dance troupe and musicians who performed a show during dinner. Through its culinary offerings and the evening performance, Maharlika showcased Philippine culture, folk art, ethnic music and dance to guests of the Mission and the Consulate General."

That was good enough for the court to find that the restaurant fell within the definition of consular relations. The purpose of the restaurant was to showcase Filipino culture, not to earn a profit. It did so by hiring only Filipino employees, presenting long Filipino dinner shows, and hosting official Philippine functions. "Maharlika was thus used exclusively for a consular purpose, and so is exempt under the VCCR."

I love it. As long as there is Filipino dancing you fall within Article 5's definition of "furthering the development of commercial, economic, cultural and scientific relations between the sending State and the receiving State." As for the lease with the Philippine bank and Philippine airline, no that just won't do. Far too much focus on Filipino commercial and economic relations, and not nearly enough emphasis on Filipino culture.

Now if the bank tellers had just doubled as Filipino dancers while serving customers, well, ... who knows, perhaps Filipino "teller and dancing" would suffice. Based on this YouTube video of the well-known Bayanihan Philippine Dance Company, it looks like they could multi-task.




Sunday, February 17, 2008

Bloggers and Courage
It takes little courage to be a blogger in the United States. Perhaps professional reputation is at risk if things go badly, but there is little more to fear than that. Sure, every intellectual community has its village idiot, and the blogosphere is one of the easiest places to find people who crave attention and lack discretion. But the rashness of a buffoon hardly qualifies as courage. I suppose it takes some courage to do serious academic blogging, which has been described as "scholarship without a safety net." But that doesn't feel like courage, at least not to me. Like almost every other type of speech in this country, intellectual discourse on the Internet is both priceless and free.

Things are not so simple in other parts of the world. Reporters Without Borders just issued its annual report and it is a sobering read. The annual report highlights that most cases of censorship in the world today involve the Internet. Here are a few examples of bloggers facing persecution in 2007 for displaying courage:


Afghanistan: “Journalism student, Sayed Perwiz Kambakhsh, 23, who was arrested in October in Mazar-i-Sharif, was sentenced to death on 22 January 2008 after a closed doors trial at which he had no lawyer to defend him. He was convicted of “disseminating defamatory remarks about Islam”, for printing and distributing to friends an article he downloaded from the Internet that analyzes what the Koran says about the role of women.” (p. 70).

Bahrain: “Bahrain stepped up its censorship of online publications, especially those concerning human rights. A score of websites dealing with religion or politics were blocked by the authorities in 2007 on the excuse that they mentioned the Bandargate scandal. Bloggers are often arrested, showing that the rules are confused. More than a dozen journalists, bloggers and webmasters were prosecuted between April and October 2007 under articles 365 of the criminal law and article 47 of the press law. Since 2005, websites about Bahrain have to register with the information ministry, making it easier to control them.” (p. 156).

Bangladesh: “Tasneem Khalil, journalist and blogger (tasneemkhalil.com), was detained and tortured in May after openly criticising the army for the spread of extra-judicial killings.” (p. 74).

China: “Police began arresting dissidents and bloggers calling for improved human rights ahead of the staging of the Olympics. The best known of these “Olympics’ prisoners” is rights activist, Hu Jia, who was arrested at his Beijing home on 27 December. Police produced an arrest warrant accusing him of “inciting subversion of state power”. (p. 80) “100 or so journalists, Internet users and bloggers remain in the country’s prisons.” (p. 8)

Egypt: “Blogger Abdel Nabil Suleiman (“Kareem Amer”) was sentenced to four years in prison in February for “incitement to hatred of Islam” on his blog and for insulting Mubarak. He became the symbol of online repression for the country’s bloggers. Another blogger, Abdul Moneim-Mahmud, spent two months in prison accused of belonging to an “illegal organisation,” the Muslim Brotherhood. But his imprisonment was probably because he had posted text and photos online exposing torture by the security services.” (p. 154).

Iran: “Journalists not already in prison are summoned by judges who remind them they are only free conditionally. The most outspoken and critical Internet websites are closing one after another because of official censorship.” (p. 3)

Malaysia: “In the face of mounting criticism, the government of Abdullah Ahmad Badawi reacted with a crackdown. The internal security ministry, under the pretext of fighting incitement to racial hatred or insulting the king, set out to intimidate dissident voices, in particular bloggers. One minister threatened imprisonment against cyber-activists who opened up an unprecedented area of freedom.” (91)

Thailand: “Blogger Praya Pichaï spent two weeks in custody under Section 14 of the law against cyber-criminality for “defamation” and “harming national security”, accused of “criticising the monarchy” in an article posted on his blog (prachathai.com).The authorities then lifted the charges against him for lack of evidence, but he will be under surveillance for ten years and faces prison if he posts any new political comment on a website.” (p. 114).



Courage on the Internet. It is on full display throughout the world, but it is nowhere more apparent than in those countries where the stakes of free expression are so high. Anytime an academic blogger or commenter thinks he or she has courage, just ask the question, "Would I have the courage of these bloggers and be willing to face prison time just to defend my right to offend the state?"

Saturday, February 9, 2008

Mapping the Evolution of States and Empires
The bloggers at Coming Anarchy have put together an informative series of posts about the shifting borders of states and empires. There’s a time-lapse animation of the expansion and contraction of Rome and Byzantium, a series of maps for each of Ethiopia, Poland, Armenia , Persia, and Russia. Also, there’s a series of comparative maps on state borders in modern Europe.

Along similar lines (and in light of current events), I would also recommend Catholicgauze's post on the ethnic geography of Kosovo.

Since a picture is worth a thousand words, I am in favor of the "geographic turn" in international law, in which we as lawyers become more sensitive to issues of space and place, and how our represenations of them affect the rules that we make. And vice versa. Reflecting on his travels through the Caucasus, Northern Iraq, and West Africa, journalist Robert Kaplan noted in his book The Coming Anarchy (from where the blog got its name) that he “develop[ed] a healthy skepticism toward maps, which, I began to realize, create a conceptual barrier that prevents us from comprehending the political crack-up just beginning to occur worldwide.”

For some examples of recent scholarship in law and geography, see, for example, the articles of Hari Osofsky and Tim Zick. Hari blogged about law and geography here. I also have a forthcoming piece in the Oregon Review of International Law on how geographic and cartographic concepts have affected our understanding of self-determination and secession. More on that in another post.

For now, check out the maps!

Hat tip: Catholicgauze

Related Posts (on one page):

  1. Mapping the Future of the Middle East
  2. Mapping the Evolution of States and Empires

Tuesday, February 5, 2008

The Other Half of the Picture
Like Roger, and the rest of the Opinio Juris bloggers, I want to thank Walter Russell Mead for joining us this week. I found God and Gold to be provocative and to contain wonderful insights, particularly concerning why the Anglo-Saxon powers have done remarkably well in conflicts over the last 300 years.

But my first comment in this discussion will be less about what Mead did analyze in the opening two sections of the book (discussing the “clash of civilizations” and what may be called the Anglo-Saxon diplomatic and warfighting methods), then about what he did not cover. By this, I mean that Mead has built a fascinating but largely Eurocentric (if I could include the U.S.) narrative. I question this not out of some misguided “political correctness” but rather because I think that to understand properly the Anglo-Saxon encounter with the rest of the world, and particularly to understand why some people push back, it is vital to give due weight to the beliefs, goals, and concerns of those people. Otherwise, one gets only half the picture; and a picture which is somewhat rose-tinted, to boot.

Mead describes what he calls (tongue-in-cheek, I think) “Waspophobia” and concludes, “[w]hatever we call it, the hatred and fear of white Anglo-Saxon Protestants and of all their doings is one of the motors driving the world.” (p.58, my emphasis.) A history which gave serious weight to the actual desires and fears of those in the periphery of this story (that is, the rest of the world besides Western Europe and North America) may find that, perhaps, hatred of the powerful WASPs is not as important an engine as it may seem. Maybe, instead, the people of the periphery were not just reacting against Britain or the U.S. but were acting upon their own affirmative visions of what they wanted to build. If that is the case, then understanding those plans and goals generated in the periphery--and why the U.K. and the U.S. chose to react against them, is a key part of the story of how Britain and America "made" the modern world.

If one focused equally on the encounter as it was experienced in the countries facing Anglo-Saxon power, then one would not consider the issue of “How They Hate Us” (the title of Chapter 3) without even mentioning Mossadegh or Allende. Or the U.S. backing of the Shah, Pinochet, and Duvalier, to give a few examples. It would also be less likely that post-World War II history would receive a gloss such as “America supported independence drives in the former colonies, and then allowed new states to enter the global economic system the U.S. was building.” (p. 112) To quote a Haitian folk saying: “He who is hit always remembers. He who hits always forgets.” I think the narrative in the opening sections of God and Gold has forgotten the other half of the picture.

It is by forgetting—or by only briefly considering—the various examples of bad faith or bad acts by the great powers that we come to oversimplify the interaction the U.K, the U.S., and the rest of the world. Mead summarizes:
Rich and free but also cold and inhuman: this is how the West looks from the East…

It is what Occidentalists look at when they hate and fear the West; it is what Waspophobes are talking about when they decry the global power and influence of Britain and the United States today.
(p. 175)
No, they are probbly talking about more than that. And this is missed in Mead’s analysis because the opening two sections of God and Gold present an essentially a metropolitan history of international politics. As Mead puts it:
To the degree that the story of world power politics in the last few centuries has a single overarching plot, that plot is the long and continuing rise of the maritime system as its center shifted from the United Provinces to the United Kingdom to the United States. (p.173)
I agree with that, as a general matter and, as I stated in the opening, I think Mead has much of great insight to say on the geopolitical style of the U.K and the U.S. But this story only goes so far; it is one in which great powers were trying to outmaneuver each other on the chessboard that is the rest of the world. The board, and the chessmen on it, are barely described. And, at least the way the first two sections of this book read, the board and the gamepieces are acted upon, they are not actors in this story.

Giving serious attention not just to the power politics and economic and social proclivities of the U.K. and the U.S., but also to those of states on the periphery, can lead to further insights as to the role of Anglo-Saxon power in the world, besides those that Mead has presented.

Sunday, January 20, 2008

When Are Sovereigns Immune and Indispensable?
In case you missed it, in addition to Medellin and Boumediene, there is one other significant international case before the Supreme Court this term. Although the case is a sleeper, it has important ramifications for any attempts by successful claimants to attach assets of government officials who violate human rights when the sovereign also has a legitimate claim to those assets. More specifically, what happens to litigation when the foreign sovereign is immune from suit and potentially an indispensable party?

You can find details and documents about Philippines v. Pimental at SCOTUSWiki here, but essentially it relates to efforts by human rights victims to execute judgment against assets of Ferdinand Marcos located in Hawaii. The victims are seeking some $35 million in execution of their $2 billion judgment against Ferdinand Marcos in the case of Hilao v. Estate of Marcos. Meanwhile, the Philippine government argues that under Philippine law, any ill-gotten gains obtained by government officials belongs to the Philippine government.

The holder of the account, Merrill Lynch, brought an interpleader action to resolve the competing claims to the assets. The Ninth Circuit ruled that the Philippines enjoys sovereign immunity but is not an indispensable party. The Supreme Court granted certiorari on December 3, 2007. The questions presented are:


1. Whether a foreign government that is a “necessary” party to a lawsuit under Rule 19(a) and has successfully asserted sovereign immunity is, under Rule 19(b), an “indispensable” party to an action brought in the courts of the United States to settle ownership of assets claimed by that government.

2. Whether the Republic of the Philippines (Republic) and its Presidential Commission on Good Government (PCGG), having been dismissed from the interpleader action based on their successful assertion of sovereign immunity, had the right to appeal the district court’s determination that they were not indispensable parties under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 19(b); and whether the Republic and its PCGG have the right to seek this Court’s review of the court of appeals’s opinion affirming the district court.

The United States has filed an amicus brief in support of the Philippines. Oral argument is not yet scheduled.

Saturday, January 12, 2008

The Spiritual Capital of Successful Countries
Paul Marshall has an interesting op-ed in the Washington Post on the spiritual capital of successful countries. I know Marshall well and his analysis seems exactly right to me.

In the piece he discusses a fascinating World Values Survey, which includes a cultural map of the world, pictured at left (click to enlarge). That map divides the world according to two major dimensions: the Traditional/Secular-rational dimension and the Survival/Self-Expression dimension.

Although Marshall doesn't mention international law, I think it follows from his discussion that scholars should be much more open to the study of the impact of religion on international law and international relations. Here is an excerpt:


Religion does not exist in isolation. It concerns and shapes our fundamental view of the nature of human life and how it is and should be lived. This realization has come home in politics, especially international politics. Obviously, when we are under attack by people whose ideology we cannot understand unless we delve into the history of Islamic law and theology, we must learn to take their religious doctrines seriously.

The future is likely to bring many more debates on how religion shapes not only politics but economics.... Robert Barro and Rachel McCleary of Harvard University have used the results of World Values Surveys to study the relation between religion and economic attitudes. They found that many religious beliefs concerning cooperation, government, working women, legal rules, thriftiness and the market economy are conducive to higher per-capita income and growth. Religion appears to have an effect on economic growth and development by fostering thrift, a work ethic, honesty and openness to strangers. This has lead to the notion of "spiritual capital," analogous to human capital, which focuses on knowledge and behavior stemming from transcendent concepts and ultimate concerns.

Their model stresses the importance of freedom, not only in economics per se, but in religion itself. Religion most often has positive effects when it is free. This model is reinforced by the results of our recently concluded survey of international religious freedom. The countries with the worst religious freedom records, including Burma, Eritrea, Iran, Iraq, North Korea, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, have, unless they have oil, terrible economic records. Similar relations hold for those in the middle and for those with high levels of freedom: The highest 30 countries in rankings of economic freedom all scored highly on religious freedom.

Barro and McCleary's work suggests that this is more than a mere correlation: There is good reason to think that religious freedom leads to good economic outcomes. The current evidence indicates that closed religious systems hamper economic development. Hence, if we want economic growth and development, we need to permit religious groups and people to follow their beliefs. In this case, economists should join political scientists in examining religion more seriously.

Whether we like it or not, religion is likely to remain central to politics, and even economics. This means that in the future, politicians, Democrats as well as Republicans, are likely to expand their talk of religion on the campaign trail. We should not dismiss this as if religion were a mere irrational prejudice or interest-group totem. We should instead demand that politicians address these fundamental issues in a serious, coherent and empirically grounded way. If they do not do so, they (and we) will misunderstand our all-too-religious world.

Monday, December 17, 2007

Chinese Internet Filtering WTO Challenge Gaining Momentum
This story from The Guardian is a wonderful development:


A California free speech group whose board of directors includes Google and Yahoo said on Monday it had asked U.S. trade officials to challenge China's Internet restrictions as a violation of global trade rules. The issue threatens to further strain U.S.-China trade relations if the U.S. Trade Representative's office decides to take on the case. With China already the world's second-largest Internet market with over 162 million Web users, the commercial stakes are huge. "China's censorship of the Internet, while fundamentally an issue of free speech and individual liberty, is also a significant barrier to U.S.-China commerce, and therefore, very much a trade issue," Peter Scheer, executive director of the California First Amendment Coalition, said in a statement that came as top U.S. officials were in Beijing for economic talks. In infringing the rights of its 1.2 billion citizens, China is also infringing the rights of American companies to sell goods and services to consumers in China, via the Internet," he said. Internet giants Google and Yahoo have seats on the coalition's board of directors, but the bulk of the public interest group's members are West Coast newspapers and other traditional media companies, Scheer said in an interview.... The case relies on a legal theory developed by Columbia University Law Professor Timothy Wu, who argued in a law review article last year that WTO agreements on goods and services could be used to challenge government censorship of the Internet.

You can read Tim Wu's article here. Congrats to Wu for his brilliant idea, which I have written about before here. As I said then, "I hope this draws the attention of USTR, as it is an interesting way to think about challenging the practice of Internet filtering." Now that business interests and First Amendment advocates have joined forces, the chances that USTR will force the issue with China, potentially with WTO litigation, should increase dramatically.

Who would have thought that the WTO could be used as such a potent vehicle to challenge human rights abuses? The typical debate about international trade normally puts trade on one side of the ledger and human rights on the other. But this case uses international trade rules to promote civil liberties. Any Internet restrictions on religious, political, or commercial speech that serve as a barrier to the sale of goods and services in China have the potential to violate WTO obligations.

Thursday, December 13, 2007

Is Helping Terrorists Always Unlawful?
That essentially was the question raised in the recent Ninth Circuit case of Humanitarian Law Project v. Mukasey. The answer to the question is no.

The Plaintiffs were hoping to train members of one terrorist group, PKK, by helping them (1) to use humanitarian and international law to peacefully resolve disputes; (2) to engage in political advocacy on behalf of Kurds who live in Turkey, and (3) to teach PKK members how to petition various representative bodies such as the United Nations for relief. With respect to the other terrorist organization, LTTE, the plaintiffs wanted (1) to train members of LTTE to present claims for tsunami-related aid to mediators and international bodies, (2) to offer their legal expertise in negotiating peace agreements between the LTTE and the Sri Lankan government, and (3) to engage in political advocacy on behalf of Tamils who live in Sri Lanka.

The statute in question prohibits knowingly providing material support or resources to foreign terrorist organizations. The term “material support or resources” includes: "any property, … or service, including currency or monetary instruments or financial securities, financial services, lodging, training, expert advice or assistance, safehouses, false documentation or identification, communications equipment, facilities, weapons, lethal substances, explosives, personnel … and transportation, except medicine or religious materials."

The Ninth Circuit ruled that certain provisions of the statute were unconstitutionally vague. The key questions were whether the terms “training,” “expert advice or assistance,” “service,” and “personnel” were unconstitutionally vague. The Ninth Circuit held that the first three terms were vague but the fourth was not. Here is an excerpt:


Saturday, December 8, 2007

Using Wiki to Draft Laws
Now this story from the New York Times Magazine is what I call an innovative idea for lawmaking:


When the New Zealand police force said they were open to suggestions about how to rewrite national policing laws, they meant it. In September, they posted the 1958 Police Act online and invited Kiwis and non-Kiwis alike to visit the site and type in their own revisions to the law — extending the concept of “Wiki”-style collaborative writing from encyclopedias to democracy.

“The idea was to take something that’s inherently dry and intellectual” like law reform, explains Superintendent Hamish McCardle, who is in charge of the review, “and transfer it to something that’s cool and innovative” — like Web 2.0.

By making the Wiki open to anyone who cared to participate, the police force hoped to make it easy for international law and policing experts to weigh in, as well as those one million or so New Zealand citizens living abroad. Of course, all of that interactivity yielded its share of unconventional ideas. McCardle’s favorite is one submitted by a user who requested that the name of the police force be changed to “The New Zealand Yum-Yum Teddy Bear Strike Force Z.” That particular suggestion was quickly edited out. Other bold ideas made it into the final Wiki document, like a suggestion to increase the minimum police recruitment age to 25, since the human brain is not fully developed until then.

Despite the novelty of the Wiki process, McCardle is quick to point out that plenty of old-fashioned checks and balances are in place. The Wiki follows a traditional review process and will culminate in a document that will advise, rather than mandate, Parliament in its decisions regarding the Police Act.

If you want to see the final product, it is available at the New Zealand Wiki Police website here and here.

I wonder whether this approach could be used in drafting treaties?

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

National Antipathy and Judicial Bias at the WTO
The WTO Appellate Body has four new members: Ms Lilia R. Bautista of the Philippines and Ms Jennifer Hillman of the United States for four years commencing on 11 December 2007; and Mr Shotaro Oshima of Japan and Ms Yuejiao Zhang of China for four years commencing on 1 June 2008.

The most interesting part of the appointment process was the Taiwenese diplomatic manuevers with respect to the Chinese candidate. Simon Lester over at the International Economic Law and Policy Blog has been covering the issue closely. (See here, here, here, and here).

I must say that I think Taiwan has a point in challenging the appointment of a Chinese Appellate Body member. When we discuss impartiality and independence of international judges or arbitrators we typically focus on bias in favor of a particular party. International arbitration rules quite frequently prohibit an arbitrator of the same nationality as one of the parties from serving on the panel. There is a presumption of bias based on nationality. That may be part of Taiwan's concerns: Will a Chinese judge be willing to rule against China?

But the Taiwenese concerns extend beyond that. They also fear national antipathy toward another WTO Member State. Can a judge from China have the requisite impartiality and independence such that he would not automatically rule against Taiwan in any dispute pending before the WTO? A Taiwan spokesman stated that Taiwan "has reservations about WTO's planned appointment of Zhang Yuejiao because in China the judicial system takes orders from the Chinese government.... We know this too well because we have had many unpleasant experiences of being unfairly treated by China in international organizations, so we must protect our interests." The Taiwanese delegate reportedly said that "we have deep concerns on the question of impartiality and qualification of one of the recommended candidates." It's a fair question.

I have seen similar concerns raised before. When I worked at the Iran-United States Claims Tribunal I watched the Iranian judges display quite open and obvious bias toward Iran and against the United States. In fact, when I was there in the early 1990s one of the American judges surveyed the rulings of the Iranian judges and found that in the entire history of the tribunal no Iranian judge had ever ruled against an Iranian party or ruled in favor of an American party. (Needless to say the converse could not be said of the American judges).

Will the Chinese Appellate Body member have the requisite judicial freedom and independence to rule in favor of Taiwan or against China in forthcoming WTO disputes? Time will tell.


Monday, November 26, 2007

Australia to Apologize to the Aborigines
As has been widely reported, new Australian PM Kevin Rudd has promised to sign the Kyoto Protocol and remove the country's 550 troops from Iraq. Good news on both fronts — as is a third promise that has received less media attention: a formal apology to Australia's aboriginal population for the many historic injustices they have suffered:
Mr Rudd's pledge to say sorry to Aborigines was a radical departure from his predecessor John Howard, who during 11 years in power argued that contemporary Australians bore no responsibility for past wrongs.

It would be the first time that an Australian federal government had apologized to the country's 450,000 Aborigines, who after 220 years of white settlement suffer low life expectancy, poor health and high rates of joblessness and incarceration.

Mr Howard, whose humiliating defeat in Saturday's election signaled the end of a political era, regarded a formal apology as symptomatic of what he called the left-leaning, "black arm band" version of history.

But Labour leader Mr Rudd announced that he was determined to say sorry early on in his term of office. "We will frame it in a consultative fashion with communities and that may take some time," he said.

[snip]

Surveys show most Australians support the idea of an apology, which Aboriginal leaders regard more as a symbolic gesture than as a basis for launching huge compensation claims.
No word on whether, as part of the apology, Rudd's government will reverse Australia's refusal to sign the UN's Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples. If it is serious about promoting the rights of his country's aborigines, it should.

Wednesday, November 21, 2007

Coroner Concludes Balibo 5 Were Murdered
In June, I blogged about evidence presented at a New South Wales Coroner's Court indicating that, contrary to the longstanding position of the Indonesian and Australian governments, Indonesian troops murdered five journalists in Balibo on October 16, 1975, the first full day of Indonesia's invasion of East Timor.

Last week, the deputy coroner in New South Wales officially concluded that the killings were deliberate — and suggested, in what is certain to set off a firestorm of controversy, that the killers should be prosecuted for war crimes:
A coroner investigating the deaths of five Australia-based journalists in East Timor in 1975 concluded Friday that Indonesian troops deliberately shot or stabbed the men to death to hide Indonesia's invasion of the territory.

The finding is likely to stoke a long-running controversy surrounding the case by contradicting the Indonesian and Australian governments' official version of events: that the journalists were killed accidentally in crossfire between Indonesian troops and East Timorese defenders in the town of Balibo. It could also strain Australia-Indonesia diplomatic ties because it names three former senior officers of Indonesia's special military forces as likely having ordered the killings, and suggests they should face possible war crimes charges.

[snip]

New South Wales state deputy coroner Dorelle Pinch, who heard evidence from witnesses and viewed secret intelligence documents during a six-week inquest, rejected Indonesia's insistence for decades that the men were accidental victims of its attacking troops on Oct. 16, 1975. "The journalists were not incidental casualties in the fighting: they were captured then deliberately killed despite protesting their status," Ms. Pinch said.

Technically, Ms. Pinch only investigated the death of Brian Raymond Peters, a British-born cameraman who was among crews from two Australian television networks who went to Balibo to cover the anticipated Indonesian invasion of East Timor as it descended toward civil war following the end of Portuguese colonial rule. But she said it was impossible to investigate the death of one of the journalists without probing the others, and that her findings applied equally to all of them.

Ms. Pinch found that Mr. Peters was "shot and/or stabbed deliberately, and not in the heat of battle, by members of the Indonesian Special Forces ... to prevent him from revealing that Indonesian Special Forces had participated in the attack on Balibo." She said the journalists were killed on the orders of Yunus Yosfiah, who was then an Indonesian military captain and later a government minister. He has denied it.

There is "strong circumstantial evidence" that Mr. Yosfiah's orders to kill the journalists came down the chain of command from the then-head of Indonesian Special Forces, Maj. Gen. Benny Murdani, Ms. Pinch said. She said she believed the evidence supported possible war crimes charges, and that she would refer the case to the government to decide whether to pursue them. In Australia, a coroner does not have the power to file charges.

Attorney General Phillip Ruddock said he would forward Ms. Pinch's recommendations to police and prosecutors who have responsibility for investigating and compiling war crimes charges.

Indonesian Foreign Ministry spokesman Kristiarto Legowo rejected Ms. Pinch's findings. "The verdict will not change our assertion on what happened in Balibo at the time, namely that those five journalists were killed in crossfire," Mr. Legowo said in Jakarta. "It is a closed case."

[snip]

Prime Minister John Howard said he would seek advice on what was an appropriate next step. Opposition leader Kevin Rudd, who opinion polls say is favored to become prime minister at elections next week, indicated he would follow up on the war crimes recommendation. "I believe this has to be taken through to its logical conclusion," he said. "I also believe that those responsible should be held to account."
As I noted in my earlier post, the killers of the Balibo 5 could be prosecuted in Australia for war crimes pursuant to the Geneva Conventions Act 1957, which criminalizes grave breaches of the Geneva Conventions even when committed outside of Australia or one of its territories.

Wednesday, November 14, 2007

Ninth Circuit Rules that Severe Beatings Are Not Torture
The Ninth Circuit last month rendered a controversial decision interpreting the Convention Against Torture. In Ahmed v. Keisler, the court ruled on whether Ahmed should be deported to Bangladesh based on whether it was more likely than not that he would be tortured if removed to Bangladesh. (The panel consisted of Judge Pregerson, a Carter appointee, Judge Rawlinson, a Clinton appointee, and Judge Sandoval, a Bush II appointee sitting by designation). The facts indicate that Ahmed had been beaten by police during demonstrations against the government. Ahmed also reports that he received death threats from the police while in custody. Here are the key facts:


In 1972, Ahmed, his older brother, and uncle, were captured and detained by the Bengali army. The army suspected Ahmed's uncle of having collaborated with Pakistan. During the detention, the army killed Ahmed's uncle in front of Ahmed. They also beat Ahmed and his brother. Ahmed's brother suffered a fractured hand and Ahmed has scars all over his body from the beating.

After moving to Geneva Camp, Ahmed became politically active. He joined the Bihari organization Stranded Pakistani General Repatriation Committee (“SPGRC”) in 1985, and became an assistant to Nassin Khan, the SPGRC's chief leader. In 1990, Ahmed organized a hunger strike. During the strike, the police arrived, took Ahmed into custody overnight, beat him, and released him the next day.

In 1991, Ahmed participated in a demonstration in front of the Pakistan Embassy. The demonstrators sat in a circle around the embassy, and they tried to give the Ambassador a memorandum requesting that he make arrangements to send them to Pakistan. When they were not allowed to enter the embassy, the demonstrators screamed and threw rocks. The police were called, and they fired guns and threw tear gas at the demonstrators. The demonstrators tried to run away but they were caught by police. Many demonstrators, including Ahmed, were beaten by the police. The police forced Ahmed to sign a statement saying that he would not organize in the future.

On December 26, 1994, Ahmed, together with the Bihari community in Geneva camp, participated in a demonstration. The community protested that they wanted to go to Pakistan because they “cannot live with this kind of living.”The police arrived and tried to break up the demonstration. At one point, the demonstrators became angry with the police and started throwing stones. The police called for backup and fired guns and tear gas at the demonstrators. The police captured many demonstrators, including Ahmed, took them into custody, and beat them. The police released Ahmed the next day but threatened him with death should he ever protest again. Ahmed testified that, “if I ever try to say anything like this or try to speak then we will be killed in the police camp.”After he was released, Ahmed fled the camp, realizing that he was not safe and that he needed to leave the country. After four visits to the American Embassy, Ahmed succeeded in getting a visa. There is no evidence that Ahmed was violent or that he advocated violence at any of the three demonstrations....


In its legal analysis, the court distinguishes between persecution and torture and concludes that severe beatings are not torture:


Ahmed contends that he is entitled to relief under CAT. To qualify for CAT relief, Ahmed must establish that it is more likely than not that he would be tortured if removed to Bangladesh. “‘Torture is an extreme form of cruel and inhuman treatment and does not include lesser forms of cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment that do not amount to torture.’" Torture is defined as "any act by which severe pain or suffering, whether physical or mental, is intentionally inflicted on a person for such purposes as obtaining from him or her or a third person information or a confession, punishing him or her for an act he or she or a third person has committed or is suspected of having committed, or intimidating or coercing him or her or a third person, or for any reason based on discrimination of any kind...." Kamalthas v. INS, 251 F.3d 1279, 1282 (9th Cir.2001) (quoting 8 C.F.R. § 208.18(a)(1) (2000)). Country conditions evidence can play a decisive role in determining eligibility for relief under CAT. Ahmed bears the burden of presenting evidence to establish “substantial grounds for believing that [he] would be in danger of being subjected to torture in the country of removal.”. We review the factual findings underlying the IJ's denial of relief under the CAT for substantial evidence.

The evidence in the record compels a finding that it is more likely than not that Ahmed will be persecuted if returned to Bangladesh, and Ahmed has offered evidence, if less pronounced, suggesting the likelihood of future harm. While in Bangladesh, Ahmed was taken into custody and beaten on four occasions (once while with his brother and uncle, and three times after participating in protests). Though certainly forms of persecution, it is not clear that these actions would rise to the level of torture.

Because the evidence does not demonstrate that it is more likely than not that Ahmed will be tortured if returned to Bangladesh, we find that CAT relief is not appropriate. Accordingly, we find that substantial evidence supports the IJ's determination that Ahmed is not eligible for CAT relief.


The conduct of "beating" someone has a range of possible meanings, from corporal punishment in school to beating someone to a pulp. Have I ever been beaten in my life? Well, yes and no, depending on the definition. But this case does not seem to be a particularly difficult one to find torture. The analysis is somewhat unusual in that most of the decision discusses his treatment as having been beaten when he was an adult, although on two occasions it states that he was severely beaten during the incident of 1972 when he was a teenager. So if someone is severely beaten in such a way that it leaves permanent scars all over your body, why does that not qualify as the intentional infliction of severe physical pain and suffering? Severe beatings do not equal severe pain? On what basis can the court rule that this conduct did not "rise to the level of torture."

As for the death threat, I frankly am a little surprised that the court makes no mention of it in its torture analysis. I would think that if the police threaten you with death (and actually killed your uncle before your eyes when you were thirteen years old) that would cause extreme emotional trauma for many people. But then again, is the test an objective or subjective one? Do we look to see if it actually caused severe emotional pain to Ahmed or do we consider it from the perspective of the typical person standing in the shoes of Ahmed? I don't think it is clear from the rule which standard to apply.

Of course, the strict legal question is whether Ahmed has factually established that it is more likely than not that he would be tortured if removed to Bangladesh. The fact that he was "severely beaten" in 1972 and "beaten" in the 1990s, does not automatically establish the likelihood of future torture if he is returned to Bangladesh. But the court also emphasized the country conditions in Bangladesh play a decisive role in determining eligibility under the Torture Convention. It appears (see this Amnesty report) that Bangladesh continues to have a serious problem with police killings and beatings.

Fortunately for Ahmed the asylum standard of well-founded fear of persecution was satisfied, even if the torture standard was not.
United Kingdom, Ltd.
Which nation has the top brand name? It seems strange to think of the branding of nations, but upon reflection we do it all the time. When we think of a country like Australia, Iran, Switzerland or Sudan we associate certain positive or negative qualities to each nation.

A recent study reveals that the nations with the top brand names are the following (with apologies to Kevin): (1) United Kingdom; (2) Germany; (3) France; (4) Canada; (5) Switzerland; (6) Sweden; (7) Italy; (8) Australia; (9) Japan; and (10) the United States.

You can download the full report here. The report argues "globalization means that countries compete with each other for the attention, respect and trust of potential cunsumers, investors, tourists, immigrants, the media and governments of other nations." The brand of a country depends on tourism, exports, governance, investment and immigration, culture and heritage, people, and tourism. The rankings don't surprise me at all, although I would not rank them in exactly that order.

Incidentally, the same is true of cities. Cities have brand names too, although the top ranked city in the world will probably surprise you. (The answer is below). According to the report, the United States is unusually blessed with cities that have great brand names. Based on a ranking of sixty cities globally, we have four global "megabrand" cities: New York, Washington D.C., Los Angeles, and San Francisco. We also have five second-tier cities: Boston, Las Vegas, Seattle, Chicago, and Atlanta. (The third-tier cities in the rankings were Philadelphia, Dallas, and New Orleans).

For example, my city of Los Angeles (they don't rank Malibu) does extremely well in numerous categories. It has a "sun and city" ranking of four, a business ranking of four, a social integration (would I fit in?) ranking of five, a "pulse" (is the city exciting?) ranking of nine, and an overall ranking of fifteen.

Finally, the same organization has a state branding index. Can you guess the top five brand names for U.S. states? (Hint: New Jersey doesn't make the cut).


Friday, November 9, 2007

Religious Freedom By Religious Background
Yesterday I attended a wonderful conference on religious asylum. I was particularly impressed by the work of one of the speakers, Paul Marshall. He offered a tremendously impressive survey of religious oppression throughout the world.

The bottom line is religious freedom is strongest in countries with majority Christian, Jewish, and Buddhist populations and the weakest in countries with majority Muslim and Hindu populations. See Figure 1.2 in this monograph. Here is how Paul Marshall puts it in this article:


There is similar variation in the religious background of countries with high levels of religious freedom. This is obviously a complex matter, since current regimes may reflect comparatively little of a country’s religious background. China, Tibet, and Vietnam all have a largely Buddhist background, but current religious repression comes at the hand of communist party regimes whose members profess to be atheistic materialists. Turkey has a Muslim background, but its constitutional order is highly secularist, while Muslim-background Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan suffer under repression by Soviet political holdovers (on religious freedom in secular settings, see my essay “Secular and Religious, Church and State”). Nevertheless, since the survey usually covers several countries of each religious background, the overall patterns can be revealing.

Historically, Christian countries tend to have the best scores in religious freedom, as they do in political rights and civil liberties. Of the forty-one countries surveyed that can be rated as religiously “free” (i.e., scoring three or above), thirty-five are traditionally Christian. Conversely, only two of the forty-two traditionally Christian countries surveyed (Belarus and Cuba) are “not free” (i.e., scoring six or seven). It should also be noted that these scores reflect not only religious background but also levels of wealth and economic development.

The other religiously “free” countries are Israel and three countries of largely Buddhist background—Japan, Mongolia, and Thailand. The Buddhist countries with poor scores largely reflect the presence of communist regimes in China, Tibet, Laos, North Korea, and Vietnam. If these are excluded, the remaining countries, except Burma, score relatively well. There are few Hindu-majority countries in the world and, of those surveyed, Nepal scores poorly on political rights and civil liberties generally, as well as on religious freedom. India is unusual in that its score for religious freedom, five, is markedly lower than its otherwise good record on democracy and on civil liberties generally. This difference reflects the upsurge within recent years of a militant Hinduism in India, coupled with attacks including large-scale massacres against religious minorities, especially Muslims and Christians, the growth of anti-conversion laws, and an increase in religiously based terrorism tied to Kashmir, which has in turn provoked repressive state measures.

The Muslim majority countries comprise the religious areas with the largest current restrictions on religious freedom. This pattern parallels problems with democracy, civil liberties, and economic freedom, but the negative trend with respect to religious freedom is even stronger. Of the twenty “unfree” countries and territories surveyed, twelve are Muslim majority. Of the seven countries receiving the lowest possible score, four are Muslim majority. This is a phenomenon that goes beyond the Arab world or the Middle East. In measures of, for example, electoral democracy, the Muslim world outside of the greater Middle East scores better than the Middle Eastern countries, and over half of the world’s Muslims live in electoral democracies: the problems with democracy are concentrated in the Middle East. However, in terms of religious freedom, the large Muslim democracies of Indonesia and Bangladesh score a five and a six respectively. In these cases, the problems of religious freedom are due not to government repression but to widespread societal religious violence, including religiously based terrorism, aimed at minorities and at undercutting the government. It should also be added that there are religiously free Muslim majority countries, including some of the poorest, Mali and Senegal, which are religiously freer than many European countries.