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<dc:date>2008-07-02T20:07+00:00</dc:date>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1215026433.shtml">
<title>Lubanga Released -- In Theory</title>
<link>http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1215026433.shtml</link>
<description>As I anticipated a few days ago following the UN's refusal to provide the judges with meaningful access to the disputed evidence, Trial Chamber I has ordered Thomas Lubanga...</description>
<dc:creator>Kevin Jon Heller</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2008-07-02T19:07+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[As I anticipated <a href="http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1214796583.shtml">a few days ago</a> following the UN's refusal to provide the judges with meaningful access to the disputed evidence, Trial Chamber I has <a href="http://www.icc-cpi.int/library/cases/ICC-01-04-01-06-1418-ENG.pdf">ordered Thomas Lubanga Dyilo's unconditional and immediate release</a>:<blockquote><i>30. As just set out, the Chamber's Decision stayed the proceedings sine die because of the present impossibility of trying the accused fairly. It follows that the detention of the accused cannot be justified in order to ensure his appearance at trial or to safeguard the investigation, because the trial (which was the result of the investigation) has been stayed. Furthermore, in the absence of the prospect of a trial, the accused cannot be held in custody or subjected to provisional release as purely preventative measures to deter him from committing further crimes.</i></blockquote>The Trial Chamber's decision, however, does not mean that Lubanga will walk out of the Hague anytime soon.  First, despite releasing him "unconditionally" and "immediately," the Court stayed his actual release pending appeal of its order by the Prosecutor:<blockquote><i>35. Trial Chamber I orders the release of the accused, but since by Rule 154 of the Rules an appeal may be filed no later than 5 days from the date upon which the party filing the appeal is notified of the decision, this order shall not be enforced until the expiry of the 5 day time limit, and, furthermore, if an appeal is filed within the 5 day time-limit against the order granting release and if a request is made in the appeal for suspensive effect, the accused shall not leave detention until the Appeals Chamber has resolved whether or not the effect of the order granting release is to be suspended.</i></blockquote>The Prosecutor will no doubt ask the Appeals Chamber to suspend the release order, which means that Lubanga will remain in detention until the Chamber resolves the appeal, however long that takes.<br />
<br />
Second &mdash; and I doubt this aspect of the order will receive much media attention &mdash; the Trial Chamber indicated that Lubanga will be released <b>only if a State is willing to take him</b>:<blockquote><i>36. It is to be noted, finally, that by Rule 185 of the Rules, an order releasing the accused shall only be put into effect after arrangements have been made for his transfer to a State that is obliged to receive him. It follows that these arrangements should not be implemented until the 5 day time-limit, set out above, has expired.</i></blockquote>That requirement could be a serious problem for Lubanga. I predicted in my <a href="http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1005772">forthcoming article</a> "What Happens to the Acquitted?" that ICC acquittees will find it no less difficult to find new homes than ICTR acquittees like Ntagerura and Rwamakuba, and I am confident &mdash; sadly &mdash; that Lubanga's "release" will prove me right.  There is no way the DRC will take him; he is, after all, a rebel.  And it is very unlikely that any other State will be enthusiastic about having an accused war criminal walking free on its territory.  So I fear that Lubanga may end up sharing the same fate as Ntagerura and Rwamakuba: being "free" to enjoy living as a virtual prisoner in a UN safehouse.  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

<item rdf:about="http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1214796583.shtml">
<title>No Progress in the Lubanga Trial</title>
<link>http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1214796583.shtml</link>
<description>I recently blogged about Trial Chamber I's stunning decision to stay Thomas Lubanga Dyilo's trial because of the Prosecutor's failure to disclose exculpatory evidence to the defense. The Court held...</description>
<dc:creator>Kevin Jon Heller</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2008-06-30T03:06+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[I <a href="http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1213643921.shtml">recently blogged</a> about Trial Chamber I's stunning decision to stay Thomas Lubanga Dyilo's trial because of the Prosecutor's failure to disclose exculpatory evidence to the defense.  The Court held a hearing on the 24th to determine whether, in light of its decision, Lubanga should be released.  It has yet to reach a conclusion &mdash; but if the "compromise" <a href="http://allafrica.com/stories/200806280016.html">the UN offered at the hearing</a> is any indication, he might not be in custody too much longer:<blockquote><i>In a correspondence from Nicolas Michel, the UN Under-Secretary-General for Legal Affairs, the United Nations proposed that the judges go to the Peace Palace in The Hague, therefore on "UN territory", to consult the documents.<br />
<br />
They would not be allowed to take notes, or to record information during their consultation. Thereafter, they could indicate certain pieces of evidence for which the prosecutor would be invited to make a summary. The judges could then compare the summary with the original evidence and decide to reveal these summaries to the defence.<br />
<br />
During the hearing of 24 June, Catherine Mabille, the lawyer for Lubanga, has from the start specified that "the defence will not accept summaries, which cannot be evidence".<br />
<br />
"If you accept", she declared, that means that the prosecutor signs agreements with the United Nations, and that the UN will dictate to the judges, to justice, what it can hear, what can be said or not."</i></blockquote>The judges seem to agree with Mabille: Justice Adrian Fulford told the Prosecutor that the court was "unlikely to approve a system that depends on its ability to memorize large quantities of information which it is unable to retain and study, and compare it with other evidence in the case so as to assess its relevance."  His position is sound: the last thing the Court needs is a trial that resembles a Guantanamo military commission.  This trial will create the blueprint for future trials; it is thus imperative for the Court to do everything in its power to protect the defendant's rights &mdash; even if that ultimately means letting Lubanga walk.]]></content:encoded>
</item>

<item rdf:about="http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1214760889.shtml">
<title>There Will Be Blood</title>
<link>http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1214760889.shtml</link>
<description>The NY Times Week in Review has an article written by Graham Bowley on the effect of recent attacks by Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) on...</description>
<dc:creator>Chris Borgen</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2008-06-29T17:06+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[The NY Times Week in Review has <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/29/weekinreview/29bowley.html?ref=weekinreview">an article written by Graham Bowley </a>on the effect of recent attacks by  Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) on Nigeria’s oil infrastructure and the effects of these attacks on world oil prices. The piece begins:<blockquote><i>When armed rebels from the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta attacked an enormous oil facility 75 miles off the swampy West African coast on June 19, traveling hours by speedboat under cover of darkness and kidnapping an oil worker, their brazen assault underlined the perhaps underappreciated dependence of the United States — and the world — on oil from Nigeria.<br />
<br />
Three days afterward, Nigerian officials said at a hastily arranged global energy summit in Jidda, Saudi Arabia, that recent attacks had cut Nigeria’s oil production to its lowest level in nearly two decades, giving oil markets the jitters and helping to send prices higher…<br />
<br />
“We always focus on the Persian Gulf but this is one of the key oil security issues in the world today,” said Daniel Yergin, one of the nation’s best-known energy experts and chairman of Cambridge Energy Research Associates, a consulting firm. “It’s tied up with Nigerian politics, regional and national battles for power, and criminality.” When Mr. Yergin spoke to lawmakers at a hearing in Congress last week, he was asked what would most help stabilize world markets. “Helping bring peace to the Niger Delta would be a major contribution,” he responded.</i></blockquote>The Times article continues that responding to the situation in Nigeria will need both a sound development policy and a counter-insurgency strategy:<blockquote><i>According to J. Stephen Morrison, director of the Africa program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, the government led by Nigeria’s new president, Umaru Yar’Adua, must break with decades of neglect and pay attention to the troubles of the southern delta region by promoting development but also cracking down on the rebels and “demonstrating that these guys cannot operate with impunity.”<br />
<br />
He’s not very optimistic, however. “When you look at the delta, the overwhelming picture is that the situation has very little promise of being fixed,” he said.</i></blockquote>While development policy is always a complex issue, the “operate with impunity” part is also a problem, as MEND has started attacking not just oil pipelines, but offshore oil platforms, as well. MEND even issued <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/africa/06/22/nigeria.rebels/index.html">a press release </a>that states, "The location for today's attack was deliberately chosen to remove any notion that off-shore oil exploration is far from our reach." <a href="http://www.theoildrum.com/node/4196">Jeff Vail </a>of <i>The Oil Drum</i> explains that this is especially significant as 90% of Nigeria’s oil growth is expected to be <i>via</i> new offshore platforms. Which now seem vulnerable to attack.<br />
<br />
John Robb, who writes extensively on guerilla-based “fourth generation warfare” is concerned that <a href="http://www.theoildrum.com/node/4170#more">destabilization from infrastructure attacks will worsen</a>:<blockquote><i>So, given production limitations and strong/concentrated demand, even small disruptions by guerrilla groups on light sweet crude production is likely to have a direct influence on global oil pricing (in contrast, disruptions aimed at heavy crude production should have little impact on global pricing). Further, there are already active groups in many of the most critical production areas.<br />
<br />
Fortunately, from the demonstrated behavior of these groups it doesn't appear that guerrilla/terrorist groups have fully grasped their potential market power with small attacks (despite aspirational pronouncements from al Qaeda and large scale attacks in 2005/2006). Once they do, as bad as disruption is today, it could get MUCH worse.<br />
<br />
Why? A direct connection to scalable profits...<br />
<br />
As we saw with e-mail spam/phishing, even the faintest whiff of profits can turn a loose collection of individuals/groups into a torrential crime-fueled marketplace generated billions and attracting tens of thousands of participants. Are we about to see the same occur with oil?</i></blockquote>For example, consider Columbia. <a href="http://globalguerrillas.typepad.com/globalguerrillas/2008/06/global-oil-unde.html#comments">John Robb notes that</a><blockquote><i>Disruption isn't limited to Nigeria. A remote control bomb by the FARC on Occidental Petroleum's pipeline in Colombia just knocked out 100,000 barrels a day. It's also interesting to note how irrelevant the US military/national security system has become in regards to global energy security. The entire paradigm of warfare has changed but the $1 Trillion behemoth has barely budged.</i></blockquote>While I doubt that <a href="http://www.canada.com/vancouversun/news/story.html?id=2eeece50-285f-4c4b-bb37-2d053d04d4e8&p=1">the end is nigh</a>, the situation is obviously serious and it won’t be solved by a combination of a dithering domestic energy policy and a foreign policy of “assisted” regime-change. So, for now, only one thing is certain…<br />
<br />
]]></content:encoded>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1214746551.shtml">
<title>Kristof: "If Only Mugabe Were White"</title>
<link>http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1214746551.shtml</link>
<description>Nick Kristof asks the right questions about the lack of outrage against Robert Mugabe among the leaders of African states and discusses what may be the best solution to the...</description>
<dc:creator>Peggy McGuinness</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2008-06-29T13:06+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[Nick Kristof <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/29/opinion/29kristof.html?hp">asks the right questions</a> about the lack of outrage against Robert Mugabe among the leaders of African states and discusses what may be the best solution to the horrors that have gripped Zimbabwe over these past months:<br />
<i><blockquote>Africa’s rulers often complain, with justice, that the West’s perceptions of the continent are disproportionately shaped by buffoons and tyrants rather than by the increasing number of democratically elected presidents presiding over 6 percent growth rates. But as long as African presidents mollycoddle Mr. Mugabe, they are branding Africa with his image.<br />
<br />
To his credit, Zambian President Levy Mwanawasa has taken the lead in denouncing Mr. Mugabe’s abuses, and Nelson Mandela bluntly deplored Mr. Mugabe’s “tragic failure of leadership.” Mr. Mandela could also have been talking about [South African President] Mr. Mbeki’s own failures.<br />
<br />
The United States doesn’t have much leverage, and Britain squandered its influence partly by focusing on the plight of dispossessed white farmers. (That’s tribalism for Anglo-Saxons.) But there is a way out.<br />
<br />
The solution is for leaders at the African Union summit this week to give Mr. Mugabe a clear choice.<br />
<br />
One option would be for him to “retire” honorably — “for health reasons” after some face-saving claims of heart trouble — at a lovely estate in South Africa, taking top aides with him. He would be received respectfully and awarded a $5 million bank account to assure his comfort for the remainder of his days.<br />
<br />
The other alternative is that he could dig in his heels and cling to power. African leaders should make clear that in that case, they will back an indictment of him and his aides in the International Criminal Court. Led by the Southern African Development Community, the world will also impose sanctions against Mr. Mugabe’s circle and cut off all military supplies and spare parts. Mozambique, South Africa and Congo will also cut off the electricity they provide to Zimbabwe. </blockquote></i><br />
So, whatever happened to the <a href="http://www.responsibilitytoprotect.org/">Responsibility to Protect</a>? Or even the less robust 1990s versions of <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/11/opinion/11albright.html">humanitarian intervention</a>?  Surely widespread deprivation, starvation, torture and political murder -- whether or not tantamount to genocide -- qualify as the kinds of mass atrocities that should trigger international intervention.  But it is precisely because of the support Mugabe has received from China and from his more powerful neighbor to the south that any robust UN action is unlikely.  It is also because the baseline principle of outside intervention -- "first, do no harm" -- makes action in Zimbabwe quite tricky.  <br />
<br />
If the AU implicitly or explicitly places an ICC indictment on the table, this will be a good test of the amnesty/exile vs. prosecution debate.  Given his age, I am not sure Mugabe fears a long legal process.     ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

<item rdf:about="http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1214525519.shtml">
<title>Canada Quietly Seeks to Withdraw ICC Warrants in Uganda</title>
<link>http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1214525519.shtml</link>
<description>The government of Canada, one of the most enthusiastic supporters of the ICC, is apparently quietly lobbying for a withdrawal of ICC arrest warrants against the Ugandan Lord's Resistance Army...</description>
<dc:creator>Julian Ku</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2008-06-28T03:06+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[The government of Canada, one of the most enthusiastic supporters of the ICC, is apparently <a href="http://www.thestar.com/News/Canada/article/449609">quietly lobbying for a withdrawal of ICC arrest warrants </a>against the Ugandan Lord's Resistance Army leaders. <br />
<blockquote><br />
<i>According to a diplomatic note obtained by the Star, Canada “has already indicated openness, in principle” to supporting a future request to the UN Security Council to defer charges from the criminal court in order to have Ugandan rebel leaders sign off on a peace deal that could halt the decades-long conflict.</i><br />
</blockquote><br />
<br />
 The rationale is one I've suggested <a href="http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1204517468.shtml">many times before</a> on this blog. It is good to see that Canada is open to this idea as well. ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

<item rdf:about="http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1214324741.shtml">
<title>Belgium "Investigating" Bagambiki at Rwanda's Request</title>
<link>http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1214324741.shtml</link>
<description>No, Virginia, being unanimously acquitted by an international tribunal's trial and appeals chambers doesn't mean very much:...</description>
<dc:creator>Kevin Jon Heller</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2008-06-24T16:06+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[No, Virginia, being unanimously acquitted by an international tribunal's trial and appeals chambers <a href="http://allafrica.com/stories/200806050033.html">doesn't mean very much</a>:<blockquote><i>Belgium has confirmed that it was investigating Emmanuel Bagambiki, former Governor of Cyangugu during the 1994 genocide, who was acquitted by the International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda (ICTR) and who is sought by Rwanda, reports Hirondelle Agency .<br />
<br />
"The federal prosecutor is looking at the [Bagambiki's] extradition request and that there is an arrest warrant issued against him [by Rwanda]','said Lieve Pellens spokesperson of the prosecutor.<br />
<br />
However, he hinted that Belgium and Rwanda, for the time being, do not have an extradition agreement, but affirmed that Investigations were underway against the former Rwandan official, who is living in Belgium with his family.<br />
<br />
Following his final acquittal by the ICTR appeals court, on 8 February 2006, for crimes of genocide and crimes against humanity, Rwanda decided to prosecute the former Governor for rape, for which he was not tried by the UN tribunal.<br />
<br />
On 10 October 2007, the Court of First Instance of Rusizi, his native region, sentenced Bagambiki in absentia to life in prison for rape and incitement to commit rape.<br />
<br />
A source told Hirondelle that the federal prosecutor, Phillippe Meire, had recently travelled to Rwanda to follow up on the judgement.<br />
<br />
If extradition was rejected, Belgium could decide to prosecute Bagambiki itself if there was any convincing evidence.</i></blockquote>Rwanda's attempt to get their hands on Bagambiki is unlikely to succeed, given that the <a href="http://conventions.coe.int/treaty/en/treaties/html/024.htm">European Convention on Extradition</a> prohibits extradition when the request is based on a conviction obtained <i>in absentia</i>.  It is also unlikely that Belgium would prosecute Bagambiki for the rapes itself, because -- as I have <a href="http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1005772">explained elsewhere</a> -- the rape charges are based on the same modes of participation (direct participation and command responsibility) that the ICTR unanimously rejected.  Why, then, is Belgium continuing this legal charade?  There seems to be only one answer: it is trying to punish Bagambiki for seeking aslyum -- and ultimately receiving it by court order, over government protests -- in Belgium.<br />
<br />
Charades like this make a mockery of international criminal justice -- <a href="http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/4/29/13154/4832/783/505701">William Haynes</a> writ large: "We can't have acquittals. We've been holding these guys for years. How can we explain acquittals? We have to have convictions."]]></content:encoded>
</item>

<item rdf:about="http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1213643921.shtml">
<title>The ICC Stays Lubanga's Prosecution -- and May Let Him Walk...</title>
<link>http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1213643921.shtml</link>
<description>In what can only be described as a stunning development, Trial Chamber I has stayed Thomas Lubanga Dyilo's trial because of the Prosecutor's failure to disclose exculpatory evidence to the...</description>
<dc:creator>Kevin Jon Heller</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2008-06-16T19:06+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[In what can only be described as a stunning development, Trial Chamber I has stayed Thomas Lubanga Dyilo's trial because of the Prosecutor's <a href="http://www.icc-cpi.int/library/cases/ICC-01-04-01-06-1401-ENG.pdf">failure to disclose exculpatory evidence</a> to the defense.  Indeed, the decision seems to indicate that unless the Prosecutor reverses course and agrees to disclose the evidence, the Trial Chamber is prepared to dismiss the charges and allow Lubanga to go free.  A hearing on that issue is scheduled for June 24.<br />
<br />
The Trial Chamber's decision turns on the interpretation of Article 54(3)(e) of the Rome Statute, which provides as follows:<blockquote><i><b>Duties and powers of the Prosecutor with respect to investigations</b><br />
[...]<br />
3. The Prosecutor may:<br />
[...]<br />
(e) Agree not to disclose, at any stage of the proceedings, documents or information that the Prosecutor obtains on the condition of confidentiality and solely for the purpose of generating new evidence, unless the provider of the information consents.</i></blockquote>During the early stages of his investigation, the Prosecutor entered into dozens of Article 54 agreements with various information providers, including the UN.  Because of those agreements, the Prosecutor now finds himself unable to disclose more than 200 potentially-exculpatory documents not only to the defense, but even to the Trial Chamber itself:<blockquote><i>64. The prosecution is unable to disclose any of these items of evidence to the accused, in full or in a redacted form. Furthermore, save for a limited number of documents (32) that have been supplied to the Chamber by six unidentified information-providers in redacted form, the prosecution (given the terms of the agreements) is unable to show them to the Chamber. This is because the information-providers do not consent to the judges viewing copies of the original materials (in the majority of instances the Chamber cannot be shown the documents at all), notwithstanding an undertaking which has been given by the judges to uphold the confidential status of the documents or information, unless consent is given by the information-providers for their wider distribution.</i></blockquote>In defense of his non-disclosure, the Prosecutor argued that "[d]espite the requirements of Article 54(3)(e) that confidentiality agreements are to be used solely for the purpose of generating new evidence... evidence which it is anticipated may be used during the trial can also be obtained pursuant to Article 54(3)(e)."  The Trial Chamber rejected that interpretation of Article 54 in no uncertain terms:<blockquote><i>72. The prosecution has given Article 54(3)(e) a broad and incorrect interpretation: it has utilised the provision routinely, in inappropriate circumstances, instead of resorting to it exceptionally, when particular, restrictive circumstances apply. Indeed, the prosecution conceded in open court that agreements reached under Article 54(3) (e) have been used generally to gather information, unconnected with its springboard or lead potential.<br />
<br />
[snip]<br />
<br />
73. Therefore, although the Chamber does not have the information necessary to analyse the circumstances in which each of the individual documents was supplied to the prosecution, the overall picture is clear: the prosecution's general approach has been to use Article 54(3)(e) to obtain a wide range of materials under the cloak of confidentiality, in order to identify from those materials evidence to be used at trial (having obtained the information provider's consent). This is the exact opposite of the proper use of the provision, which is, exceptionally, to allow the prosecution to receive information or documents which are not for use at trial but which are instead intended to "lead" to new evidence. The prosecution's approach constitutes a wholesale and serious abuse, and a violation of an important provision which was intended to allow the prosecution to receive evidence confidentially, in very restrictive circumstances. The logic of the prosecution's position is that all of the evidence that it obtains from information-providers can be the subject of Article 54(3)(e) agreements.</i></blockquote>The Trial Chamber was particularly aggrieved by the Prosecutor's refusal to disclose the confidential information to the bench.  As the Chamber pointed out, it &mdash; not the Prosecutor &mdash; is ultimately responsible for ensuring that the defendant receives a fair trial:<blockquote><i>88. Although the prosecution, as a first stage in this procedure, must make the initial decision as to the exculpatory value or effect of any piece of evidence under Article 67(2) ("evidence in the Prosecutor's possession or control which he or she believes shows or tends to show the innocence of the accused, or to mitigate the guilt of the accused, or which may affect the credibility of prosecution evidence"), once this threshold is passed and it is accepted that the material has, potentially, an exculpatory effect, only the Chamber can make a decision on non-disclosure if exceptional circumstances so require. If it is proposed that evidence of this kind should be withheld, it is to be put before the judges in its original form and in its entirety. The ultimate responsibility for securing justice and ensuring fairness has been given to the Chamber (Article 64(2) of the Statute) and these responsibilities cannot be delegated by, or removed from, the judges. In this case, the Bench has been prevented from assessing for itself the impact on the fairness of these proceedings should the evidence remain undisclosed,142 and the approach of the prosecution means, inter alia, that for the purposes of Article 67(2), the Chamber could never, "in case of doubt", make a decision (because it will be unable to view the underlying material).</i></blockquote>The Trial Chamber thus held &mdash; reluctantly, because it knows that its decision may well lead to Lubanga's release &mdash; that it had no other choice but to stay the proceedings:<blockquote><i>91. This is an international criminal court, with the sole purpose of trying those charged with the "most serious crimes of concern to the international community as a whole" and the judges are enjoined, in discharging this important role, to ensure that the accused receives a fair trial. If, at the outset, it is clear that the essential preconditions of a fair trial are missing and there is no sufficient indication that this will be resolved during the trial process, it is necessary - indeed, inevitable - that the proceedings should be stayed. It would be wholly wrong for a criminal court to begin, or to continue, a trial once it has become clear that the inevitable conclusion in the final judgment will be that the proceedings are vitiated because of unfairness which will not be rectified. In this instance, in its filing of 9 June 2008, the prosecution went no further than raising the possibility that the Chamber may be provided at some stage in the future with no more than incomplete and insufficient materials. There is, therefore, no prospect, on the information before the Chamber, that the present deficiencies will be corrected.</i></blockquote>As mentioned above, a hearing on the consequences of the Prosecutor's failure to disclose the exculpatory evidence is scheduled for June 24.  The Prosecutor has two choices: disclose the evidence or face the very real possibility that Lubanga will go free.<br />
<br />
This is clearly a landmark decision.  It would obviously be a tragedy if Lubanga was released &mdash; but there was no way that the Trial Chamber could approve of the Prosecutor's woefully overbroad use of Article 54, given the vast amount of exculpatory evidence that would thereby have gone undisclosed.  The Prosecutor's decision to use Article 54 in that way is a mystery, as is his decision to promise the information providers that he would not even disclose the confidential information to the Trial Chamber.  Given today's decision, I doubt he will make either mistake again.]]></content:encoded>
</item>

<item rdf:about="http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1212820586.shtml">
<title>New Developments Regarding the ICC and Darfur</title>
<link>http://www.opiniojuris.org/posts/1212820586.shtml</link>
<description>The ICL community is abuzz with news that the ICC Prosecutor appears ready to issue new indictments that connect the "whole state apparatus" in Sudan to the crimes against humanity...</description>
<dc:creator>Kevin Jon Heller</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2008-06-07T06:06+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[The ICL community is abuzz with news that the ICC Prosecutor appears ready to issue <a href="http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5h1eEj9RAiZt-BjH0Qfeq_8jakpmAD912UCK82">new indictments</a> that connect the "whole state apparatus" in Sudan to the crimes against humanity committed in Darfur.  Here's <a href="http://www.undispatch.com/archives/2008/06/icc_readying_ne.php">Mark Leon Goldberg</a>:<blockquote><i>This is a big deal. On the one hand, indicting top government officials could seriously disrupt current diplomatic efforts to coax and cajole Khartoum into cooperating with the deployment of peacekeepers in Darfur. The international community also needs Khartoum's cooperation to shore up the separate peace agreement with the south and resolve the conflict in the Abyei region. Another way of looking at this, though, is that current international efforts to bolster UNAMID are already fledgling. Fighting in Abyei has already broken out (causing some 50,000 displaced) the north-south peace accord is already fledgling. This new intervention by the ICC, if it comes, could provide a critical point of political leverage over the political elites calling the shots in Khartoum.<br />
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So far, the international community has not been able to convince the Sudanese government that it is in their best interests to cooperate on Darfur, Abyei, and elsewhere. The threat of indictment (and the ability of the Security Council to suspend those indictments) could inject the necessary impetus for the government to finally take a conciliatory stance toward the international community. The problem is, ICC indictments are a relatively new phenomenon on the international stage. Diplomats seem not yet to have quite learned the best way use these indictments to serve their political ends. Here's hoping they learn fast.</i></blockquote>I agree with Mark that this is a big deal.  New indictments, particularly of Sudan's top leadership, will further isolate the murderous regime in Khartoum.  I'm less sanguine, however, that they would encourage the Sudanese government to take a conciliatory stance toward the international community.  It seems to me that the opposite is true -- that Sudan will simply ignore the new indictments and continue to level its ridiculous allegations of political bias against the ICC.  That doesn't mean the Prosecutor's intended actions are ill-advised; on the contrary, Sudan's patrons, particularly China, may well find it more difficult to support the Sudanese government if all or most of its top leaders are indicted -- a worthy and necessary outcome.  But we shouldn't have any illusions about how the Sudanese government will react.<br />
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Another aspect of the Prosecutor's recent statements are worth noting -- namely, that he is also considering whether to bring <a href="http://www.inthenews.co.uk/news/autocodes/countries/sudan/darfur-genocide-not-ruled-out-%241221853.htm">genocide charges</a> regarding Darfur:<blockquote><i>The international criminal court (ICC) is refusing to dismiss the possibility of genocide in Sudan's wartorn Darfur region, its chief prosecutor has said.<br />
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Chief prosecutor Luis Moreno-Ocampo made the claim in a briefing to MPs and peers in parliament 15 months after the ICC named Sudan's humanitarian affairs minister, Ahmed Haroun, and Ali Kosheib, Janjaweed leader, as chief suspects of war crimes against humanity in Darfur.<br />
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Mr Moreno-Ocampo said he had established a "clear case" against the two suspects based on crimes against humanity.<br />
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"We never dismiss genocide", he explained, adding that a "second investigation" is currently underway considering this "second aspect" of the Darfur crisis.</i></blockquote>This is a <i>huge </i>deal, and I'm mystified as to why it has not received more media attention.  NGOs and some governments, particularly the US, have long claimed that the Sudanese government's actions in Darfur amounted to genocide.  Nevertheless, the Security Council-sponsored <a href="http://www.un.org/news/dh/sudan/com_inq_darfur.pdf">Report of the International Commission of Inquiry on Darfur</a> specifically rejected that conclusion (though it did say that individual government officials and janjaweed militiamen might have acted with genocidal intent):<blockquote><i>The Commission concluded that the Government of the Sudan has not pursued a policy of genocide. Arguably, two elements of genocide might be deduced from the gross violations of human rights perpetrated by Government forces and the militias under their control. These two elements are, first, the actus reus consisting of killing, or causing serious bodily or mental harm, or deliberately inflicting conditions of life likely to bring about physical destruction; and, second, on the basis of a subjective standard, the existence of a protected group being targeted by the authors of criminal conduct. However, the crucial element of genocidal intent appears to be missing, at least as far as the central Government authorities are concerned. Generally speaking the policy of attacking, killing and forcibly displacing members of some tribes does not evince a specific intent to annihilate, in whole or in part, a group distinguished on racial, ethnic, national or religious grounds. Rather, it would seem that those who planned and organized attacks on villages pursued the intent to drive the victims from their homes, primarily for purposes of counter-insurgency warfare.</i></blockquote>I think the Commission's report is very convincing, so it will be interesting to see whether the Prosecutor has been able to develop new evidence of a genocidal policy.  Unless he has, any attempt to charge the Sudanese government with genocide will make it seem like he is simply giving in to western political pressure -- a result that, however unjustified, would further damage his already shaky reputation for independence.]]></content:encoded>
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